We can't trust the topsy-turvy Falcons in this spot a week after they failed to score a single offensive touchdown and gave up 25 first downs and 366 total yards, allowing New Orleans to dominate the time of possession.

Tampa Bay gave it to Philadelphia last Sunday, outgaining the Eagles by over 200 yards, bouncing back from a poor performance versus Denver that looks like an outlier now. I expect the Bucs to win straight-up in this divisional clash, taking control of the NFC South race.