OVER 40.5: UCLA-RUTGERS
(NCAAF) Bruins (UCLA) vs. Scarlet Knights (RUT),
Total: 40.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Read my free betting preview: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/ncaaf/10-19-2024/ucla-vs-rutgers-prediction-9132/

Betting Trend: The over is 4-2 in Rutgers' last six home games (+1.80 units / 27% ROI).

Rutgers better fix its offensive struggles this week if it's going to prevent an avalanche of losses with three road games and a matchup with a ranked Illinois team upcoming. The Scarlet Knights are 43rd in the country in EPA per play (0.098), and Top 45 in both Rush and Dropback EPA per play. The Bruins have done a solid job at limiting opponents' ground games, but this road trip is going to be an unfortunate challenge for them after nearly earning their first conference win last weekend. The Knights will play with chips on their shoulders, dominating at the line of scrimmage in the second half.

I don't expect too much production from the Bruins' offense, yet this total is too low to confidently predict an under. There will be enough scoring from the home team to push the total past 40 points, as Rutgers will make an effort to maximize its offensive possessions after two poor showings on that side of the ball versus Nebraska and Wisconsin.