Atlanta is heading in the right direction, even after last week's loss to Seattle. I was leaning the Falcons' way before the Bucs' injuries (WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin), which now makes this an official bet for us.

This is a crucial game for both teams, as they are tied atop the NFC South standings, but Atlanta could take complete control by downing Tampa Bay for the second time this season, earning a future tie-breaker, if needed. ATL has a winnable upcoming schedule, with a home game vs. Dallas before road games at New Orleans and Denver, so avoiding a letdown here will be paramount for Captain Kirk's crew.

Atlanta actually outgained Seattle by 30 yards last week, but two INTs and a fumble recovery TD made the final score look more lopsided than it was. ATL was riding a three-win streak heading into that game and has been dominant against the NFC South (3-0). Additionally, the Falcons are 2-0 on the road this season. I prefer them in this bounce-back spot over Tampa Bay, who had its soul crushed by missed opportunities and injuries on Monday night.