ATL FALCONS -3.5
(NFL) Cowboys (DAL) vs. Falcons (ATL),
Point Spread: -3.50 | 100.00 Falcons (ATL) (Home)
Result: Win
The Cowboys will be without Micah Parsons, whose absence has moved this line from 2.5 to 3.5, but I feel confident this spread should be six with Atlanta at home anyway. Dallas ranks 29th in defensive DVOA and clearly misses Dan Quinn, as Mike Zimmer just ain't getting it done.

Atlanta has an excellent cast of offensive weapons, is healthy and playing with purpose. Kirk Cousins has been great with a clean pocket (10:1 TD:INT ratio) and can lean on both Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier against a Cowboys defense that has been struggling versus the run.

I believe the market still undervalues Atlanta and overvalues Dallas, making this an easy play for me!