OVER 148.5: GRAND CANYON-AZ ST
(NCAAB) Antelopes (GC) vs. Sun Devils (ASU),
Total: 148.50 | -113.00 Over
Result: Win
I anticipate a high-scoring game on Thursday between the Antelopes and Sun Devils.

Sparky committed 22 fouls last game versus Gonzaga, something Grand Canyon will take advantage of. Last season, the Antelopes had the second-highest free-throw attempt rate per offensive play (32.3%) in the country. This season, their FT attempt rate per play is 34.6%. KenPom ranks Grand Canyon 62nd nationally in offensive efficiency, and with Thursday's return of Tyon Grant-Foster, the reigning WAC Player of the Year, the Antelopes are trending up. Foster (+11.5 net on/off rating last season (84th percentile)) is joined by TCU transfer JaKobe Coles (21.0 PPG and 12.0 RPG this season), senior guard Collin Moore (16.5 PPG and 7.0 RPG) and senior guard Ray Harrison (14.5 PPG and 3.5 APG).

Arizona State hung with Gonzaga (45th in defensive rating) and beat Santa Clara in a game most predicted it would lose, which are encouraging signs for Bobby Hurley's team. The Sun Devils get out in transition (15.6 fast-break points per game) and lean on the three-ball (Top 70 in threes per game), which should be available against an Antelopes team that ranks 329th in three-point defense (39.5% opponent 3PT%). GCU allowed 72-plus points to Cal State Fullerton and Western Kentucky, two teams that rank outside the Top 175 in offensive efficiency.