PREMIUM
UNDER 48: UCLA-WASHINGTON
(NCAAF) Bruins (UCLA) vs. Huskies (WAS),
Total: 48.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 48.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
My Friday Night Lights best bet is on the total to be under 48 in the Bruins-Huskies Pac-12, errr Big Ten battle.
Washington is 8-2 to the under this season, as it moves the football methodically, ranking 16th in success rate, but falling short in the metrics when it comes to big plays (124th in explosiveness). Plus, UW has been below-average in the red zone, converting 78.9% of its scoring opportunities (103rd). The Huskies have found the end zone in just half of their red-zone trips (19 of 38) and have an unreliable kicker in Grady Gross (15-for-23 on FG attempts, including 4-for-9 from 40-50-plus). They'll go up against a UCLA defense that allows long drives, but doesn't surrender big plays (14th in explosiveness) and is stout against the run (3.2 yards per carry allowed).
The Bruins prefer to pass the football, but they take their time moving the football (127th in plays per minute) and will face a tough Washington secondary featuring two lockdown corners. While they have been scoring more lately, they still rank 102nd in EPA per play and 110th in success rate this season. With Washington rallying for a win to make a bowl game (it must play Oregon in its season finale) in front of a "blackout" crowd, I believe bettors should expect a strong defensive effort from the Dawgs.
Washington is 8-2 to the under this season, as it moves the football methodically, ranking 16th in success rate, but falling short in the metrics when it comes to big plays (124th in explosiveness). Plus, UW has been below-average in the red zone, converting 78.9% of its scoring opportunities (103rd). The Huskies have found the end zone in just half of their red-zone trips (19 of 38) and have an unreliable kicker in Grady Gross (15-for-23 on FG attempts, including 4-for-9 from 40-50-plus). They'll go up against a UCLA defense that allows long drives, but doesn't surrender big plays (14th in explosiveness) and is stout against the run (3.2 yards per carry allowed).
The Bruins prefer to pass the football, but they take their time moving the football (127th in plays per minute) and will face a tough Washington secondary featuring two lockdown corners. While they have been scoring more lately, they still rank 102nd in EPA per play and 110th in success rate this season. With Washington rallying for a win to make a bowl game (it must play Oregon in its season finale) in front of a "blackout" crowd, I believe bettors should expect a strong defensive effort from the Dawgs.
