Read my free game breakdown here: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/ncaab/11-22-2024/duke-vs-arizona-prediction-5600/

Betting Trend: Arizona has only hit the moneyline in 23 of its last 33 games (-36.05 Units/-8% ROI).

The Wildcats are a dominant team on the glass, ranking first in the nation in offensive rebound percentage and second nationally in defensive rebound percentage. That won't be a part of the equation against Duke, though, as the visitors are the tallest team in college basketball (every rotation player is at least 6-foot-5) and they are top 60 in both offensive and defensive rebounding. Besides, Arizona has failed to turn its rebounding advantage into second-chance points, turning its 65 offensive rebounds into just 66 points.

The Wildcats have been frigid from the perimeter, too. As long as the Blue Devils don't get into a foul-fest and use their size advantage to keep the home team out of the lane, they should come out on top. Cooper Flagg and the other Duke frosh get their first taste of big-time college hoops against Kentucky and will be better prepared for the moment on Friday in Tucson.