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OREGON ML vs. OHIO ST: NCAAB
(NCAAB) Ducks (ORE) vs. Buckeyes (OSU),
Money Line: 112.00 Ducks (ORE) (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: 112.00 Ducks (ORE) (Away)
Result: Win
Read my free game preview: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/ncaab/1-9-2025/oregon-vs-ohio-state-prediction-4233/
I favor the Ducks on Thursday against the Buckeyes. Oregon grades out as one of the best road teams in NCAAB this season, ranking 5th nationally in road performance, per Haslametrics.com. The Ducks suffered a humiliating loss to Illinois a couple of games ago but responded nicely against Maryland. Ohio State, meanwhile, was pushed around at home by Michigan State two games ago and should have lost at Minnesota on Monday. Had the Gophers not mistakenly fouled up two with a few seconds left, they would have won outright. OSU has been an inconsistent team this season, (330th nationally in Haslametrics' Consistency rating), as well.
What I like most about the Ducks in this matchup is their offensive rebounding and second-chance scoring advantages. Oregon converts 8.6 percent of all second-chance opportunities (18th-best in CBB) and is 30th nationally in potential points scored off offensive rebounds. Ohio State has the 17th-lowest rating in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. average opponents, as they're mediocre on the defensive boards. The Buckeyes also send opponents to the free-throw line too often (255th in opponent free-throw attempt rate), which is a concern against a top offensive rebounding team. Four of the Ducks' top five scorers shoot over 80 percent at the foul line, as well. Ohio State is a stout team defensively on the perimeter, so these extra scoring opportunities will be crucial for Oregon.
Defensively, the Ducks should play well enough to pull off the road win. Ohio State has advantages at the rim and beyond the arc, but Oregon is stout against mid-range shot attempts (39th) and is solid overall inside the arc. If the visitors can keep the Buckeyes from getting too hot from long range, their rebounding and second-chance scoring advantages on the other end of the court may be too much for Ohio State to overcome. The Buckeyes are unlikely to obtain many second-chance buckets via offensive rebounds and Oregon has the seventh-lowest opponent free-throw attempt rate (vs. the average opponent).
Ohio State is a solid, but unspectacular squad. It hasn't played its best ball in the past two games and faces a stiff test defensively versus Oregon. I trust the Ducks to win this game outright!
I favor the Ducks on Thursday against the Buckeyes. Oregon grades out as one of the best road teams in NCAAB this season, ranking 5th nationally in road performance, per Haslametrics.com. The Ducks suffered a humiliating loss to Illinois a couple of games ago but responded nicely against Maryland. Ohio State, meanwhile, was pushed around at home by Michigan State two games ago and should have lost at Minnesota on Monday. Had the Gophers not mistakenly fouled up two with a few seconds left, they would have won outright. OSU has been an inconsistent team this season, (330th nationally in Haslametrics' Consistency rating), as well.
What I like most about the Ducks in this matchup is their offensive rebounding and second-chance scoring advantages. Oregon converts 8.6 percent of all second-chance opportunities (18th-best in CBB) and is 30th nationally in potential points scored off offensive rebounds. Ohio State has the 17th-lowest rating in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. average opponents, as they're mediocre on the defensive boards. The Buckeyes also send opponents to the free-throw line too often (255th in opponent free-throw attempt rate), which is a concern against a top offensive rebounding team. Four of the Ducks' top five scorers shoot over 80 percent at the foul line, as well. Ohio State is a stout team defensively on the perimeter, so these extra scoring opportunities will be crucial for Oregon.
Defensively, the Ducks should play well enough to pull off the road win. Ohio State has advantages at the rim and beyond the arc, but Oregon is stout against mid-range shot attempts (39th) and is solid overall inside the arc. If the visitors can keep the Buckeyes from getting too hot from long range, their rebounding and second-chance scoring advantages on the other end of the court may be too much for Ohio State to overcome. The Buckeyes are unlikely to obtain many second-chance buckets via offensive rebounds and Oregon has the seventh-lowest opponent free-throw attempt rate (vs. the average opponent).
Ohio State is a solid, but unspectacular squad. It hasn't played its best ball in the past two games and faces a stiff test defensively versus Oregon. I trust the Ducks to win this game outright!
