WISCONSIN -13.5 vs. MINNESOTA
(NCAAB) Golden Gophers (MINN) vs. Badgers (WIS),
Point Spread: -13.50 | -105.00 Badgers (WIS) (Home)
Result: Win
Betting Trends: Minnesota is 2-11-2 ATS this season and 13-21 ATS in its last 34 games. Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.

The Badgers have too many offensive advantages for the Golden Gophers to keep pace. UW ranks 8th nationally in near-proximity field goal percentage (66.5%), which measures layups, dunks and tip-ins. The home team is also comfortable from long range, ranking 61st in three-point attempt rate with a 36.3% 3PT% vs. the average opponent. UW ranks 17th in FG% vs. average opponents, as well. Minnesota defends mid-range shots well but struggles to defend the rim and the three-ball, so this matchup suits Wisconsin. The Gophers rank 298th in opponent near-proximity attempt rate. On top of that, the Badgers rank 57th in converting second-chance opportunities into points and lead the nation in free-throw percentage.

The Gophers, meanwhile, really struggle at the foul line (61.8 FT%), which cost them in their last game vs. Ohio State (12-for-27 at the line). Wisconsin is tough to score against on the perimeter, where it holds average opponents to 35% from the mid-range and 29% from beyond the arc. The Badgers also prevent their opponents from attempting many shots at the rim, ranking 26th in opponent near-proximity FG attempt rate, per Haslametrics.com.

When looking at the recent trajectories of these teams, Wisconsin has played excellent basketball, throttling Iowa by 31 and easily beating Rutgers. Minnesota lost by 20 to Purdue at home and missed a shot to earn a big win at home vs. Ohio State. The Gophers have not played well on the road (327th in Haslametrics' away-from-home metric), either. The Badgers have held up well against a challenging schedule (27th in Haslametrics' Paper Tiger Factor) and will easily beat the visiting Gophers on Friday night!