MARYLAND -4.5 vs. UCLA
(NCAAB) Bruins (UCLA) vs. Terrapins (MD),
Point Spread: -4.50 | -110.00 Terrapins (MD) (Home)
Result: Win
Lay the points with the home Terps on Friday.

Maryland has an interior advantage it will use to dominate UCLA, as Derick Queen (16.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG) and Julian Reese (13.0 PPG and 8.7 RPG) lead a Terrapins team that's 39th in near-proximity (layups, dunks & tip-ins) attempt rate and 26th in near-proximity FG% vs. the average opponent (stats vs Haslametrics.com). The Bruins don't have the bodies to hold up with them in the paint and they're 225h in average opponent NP FG%. Maryland also ranks 7th in second-chance scoring conversation percentage vs. AO. The Terps will make the Bruins pay if they're late on their assignments on the perimeter, too. UMD ranks 2nd nationally in 3PT% (40.8%) vs. AO, as veteran guards Ja'Kobi Gillespie (41.8%) and Selton Miguel (41.4%) are deadly from long distance.

The Bruins are a talented team, but they lack experience in Big Ten road games and this is the furthest east they will have played this season. In their only other game west of the Rockies, they lost by eight at Nebraska, scoring 58 points on 38% shooting, as they were 4-for-28 (14.3%) from three. The Terrapins rank 36th in average opponent three-point percentage (30%) and the Bruins attempt too many mid-range shots (35th in mid-range attempt rate), in my opinion.

Maryland is coming off consecutive losses but will show its resiliency on Friday vs. UCLA. The Bruins have played four straight challenging opponents (1-3 SU) and now play a motivated Terps team on the opposite end of the country. I don't believe they can win or cover this small spread!