If the Eagles can't run the football well enough, I'm not convinced Jalen Hurts can outplay Patrick Mahomes. KC has gone 18 straight playoff games without allowing a 100-yard rusher and the Chiefs defense is the best tackling team in the league...

In January and February, Mahomes is 16-2 SU in-home or neutral-site games (losses were to Tom Brady and Joe Burrow). He's 8-0 SU and ATS in the playoffs as an underdog or a favorite of less than a field goal and 30-4 SU with extended rest (8+ days) since 2019. Away from home in the playoffs, Hurts is 0-3 SU/ATS, failing to cover by 13.2 PPG. He's also just 9-8 SU with extended rest, including 3-6 SU on the road or at a neutral site.

KC will win again this season — don't bet against the defending champs!