I see extra value in Baltimore to simply win straight-up at -102 odds. Dean Kremer will be motivated to bounce back after a poor season debut (five runs), a game the O's still won 9-5. Seth Lugo was subpar against Baltimore last season (four runs on nine hits and two HRs in a 5.1 IP loss), and I'm not confident he can replicate last year's stat line. The Orioles lost on Thursday, but they should be favorites on the road Friday at KC.