Both of these teams are hot, but only the Boilermakers will pick up steam on Friday. I anticipate the Zags to struggle to defend Zach Edey, putting an already-thin rotation into foul trouble. The Purdue big man gets his way, and when he doesn't, he tends to draw anticipatory fouls from the refs. As a Michigan State alum, I've seen far too much of this haha...

Anyway, if the Bulldogs get in early foul trouble, especially Graham Ike, they'll be in a load of trouble, as I expect negative shooting regression from Gonzaga after shooting lights out in the first two rounds. Purdue (3rd in adjusted offensive efficiency) will take advantage, winning and covering as 5.5-pt favorites.