The Huskies will cover another large spread... They're 4-0 ATS in the tournament and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall. While not usually high-tempo (315th in schedule-adjusted tempo), they can adapt to a faster pace, which will be required against the Crimson Tide (9th in adjusted tempo). They scored 80, 87, and 99 points in three games against a more defensive-minded Xavier (35th in adjusted tempo) and UNC (42nd in tempo) squads.

Alabama will find this matchup challenging, as Connecticut holds its opponents to 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and discourages them from taking a lot of threes (33.2 percent of their total shot attempts). It also ranks 2nd nationally in 2-point defense and 1st in points per shot allowed at the rim. The Tide live and die with a rim-and-3-based offense — I bet on the latter outcome in the Final Four.