I love the value here, as the Astros are due for some positive regression, while the Rangers are due for negative regression. Houston's lineup has been successful (.308 with seven extra-base hits in 91 combined ABs) against Texas SP Dane Dunning, who allows too much hard contact. Houston's bats will wake up early on Sunday, stopping the bleeding from the prior two games versus its in-state rival.

Houston SP Ronel Blanco threw a no-hitter in his first start and didn't allow a run all spring. He'll do his job, getting the ball to the Rangers pen in a favorable spot for them to close the door on Texas in the series finale.