Giants SP Blake Snell is coming into this start (his first of the season) without any Spring Training experience, as he wasn't signed until March 19. He had a solid 2023 with San Diego, but he rarely pitched deep into games and put a lot of runners on base. I feel he's due for some negative regression this year, as he's unlikely to consistently pitch out of jams. I'm betting he won't feel quite as comfortable in his new surroundings given his lack of preparation for his season debut.

The Nats, who are coming off a win over Philly on Sunday, will counter with Trevor Williams, who earned a win in his 2024 debut (two runs on three hits vs. Pittsburgh). He should have success against a Giants lineup that's not consistently producing runs this season. In their weekend series versus San Diego, they scored three runs in game one, zero in game two, and were scoreless through five innings at the time I wrote this on Sunday afternoon.

At -110 odds, I feel that there is significant value in a bet on the Nats RL. At nearly +200 odds, you might consider sprinkling a little money on the Nats ML, too.