Dallas is scorching hot offensively (147 points and 130 points in its last two games) and Miami is bound to be fatigued following a double-overtime game vs. Atlanta on Tuesday. The Mavericks have a matchup advantage, as they rank second in three-point attempt rate (41.1%) and tenth in three-point percentage (38%), and the Heat allow its opponents to attempt a lot of threes (28th in opponent three-point attempt rate). That was the tale of the tape in the first meeting between these teams, as Dallas attempted 44 percent of its shots from long range and hit on 40 percent of their attempts.

Following a blowout victory over Charlotte on Tuesday, Dallas' stars will be better rested than Miami's. Expect them to jump out to an early lead and ride their three-point shooting advantage to a spread victory!