LA is cooked... Even 70 points in the paint and 25 fast break points weren't enough to win in its last game. The Lakers lose when they get out to big leads and can't rely on their bench, as only three reserve players scored a total of 19 points. D’Angelo Russell had one of his worst games this year, too.

Denver has the mental edge and the more complete team. You can't trust LA to play competitively for four quarters. Denver is a team, plain and simple. A total of four starters scored 20+ points in the game three win, and all five starters (plus two reserves) posted positive plus/minuses. All five Lakers starters posted negative plus/minuses...

Typically, closing out a team in four games on the road is a daunting task, but given the history between these teams and the Nuggets' on-court advantages, there's little reason to believe the Lakers can keep game four close enough to cover the spread.