At +146 odds, I value a wager on the Rays to cover the run line (-1.5). Eflin has been a much better pitcher at home, and his ERA in night games is nearly 1.5 runs lower than his ERA during day games. The Nationals don't have much experience against the veteran hurler, but their limited splits aren't great (.191 BA/.208 OBP/.234 SLG/.442 OPS in 47 combined ABs).

Tampa Bay is having its best month at the plate (.247/.320/.397/.716) and hits left-handers (.253/.314/.384/.698) better than right-handers (.231/.309/.360/.669). Winners of seven of their last ten, the Rays have enough offensive firepower to jump out to an early lead and comfortably cover against the reeling Nationals in the series opener.

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