Betting Trends: Cleveland has the highest home winning percentage (73.2%) in MLB and is 28-9 SU (75.7%) as the betting favorite at Progressive Field this season. The Guardians are also 12-8 (60.0%) in interleague games.

Cease has not fared as well on the road as he has at Petco Park, and he is 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA in night games. The Guardians, who are familiar with Cease from his time with the White Sox, have a .301 BA/.321 OBP/.476 SLG/.796 OPS slash line against him (103 combined ABs). Steven Kwan (7-for-19), Josh Naylor (6-for-20 with five RBI), and Andres Gimenez (6-for-19) have all performed well against the Padres' starter.

San Diego is an inconsistent ballclub. If it falls behind early on the road, I fear it will go down quietly. The Padres have no experience against Saturday's starter Williams and will have their work cut out against the Guardians' bullpen (1st in ERA and WHIP).

At these odds, I favor a wager on Cleveland to win straight-up tomorrow.