Today we’re going to ride one of the best trends in all of sports. The Under is 44-9-1 in the last 54 meetings between Service Academy programs. That is an 83% cash rate, which is basically unheard of in sports betting.
Before 2020, we would routinely see totals in the high 40s or even 50s when these teams met. But, as they do, Vegas adjusted. Only this time, it didn’t work.

The average total over the last four seasons (12 games) in the Service Academy matchups has been 36.5. So, books have definitely adjusted. Despite this, the Over has hit only once in those 12 games.
The average combined points scored across these 12 games is 25.3 points, with the games going over 30 just once, a 40-7 Air Force win in 2020.

This matchup in particular has gone Under in three straight meetings. The total points scored have been 23, 23, and 26. As we all know, there’s no such thing as a “lock,” but this one is about as close as you can get.