ASA top play 10* on OVER 214 Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat, 7:30PM ET - In the last three games of this series we have seen 223, 221 and 229 total points being scored. Vegas has adjusted their number on these games with the line rising from 209.5 in Game 1 to 214.5 in this contest, but we still have value. The pace of the last three games has led to the higher scoring results as the two teams have gone from 162 field goal attempts in Game 2 to 170, 173 and 170 in the ensuing games. We look for anomalies in outcomes to accurately predict the future and the one glaring stat from the last game was how poorly the Heat shot from beyond the arc. Miami was just 7 of 36 from the 3-point line or 19% which was WELL below their season average of 37.4% that was 4th best in the league. Granted the Heat haven’t shot it as well overall against a stiff Celtics defense, but our model has accounted for that discrepancy and based this outcome on the Heat shooting 29% from beyond the arc. Miami isn’t the only team we need to score here to cash our Over. Boston has gained confidence in the last game and looked like the team that was predicted to come out of this series. The Celtics put up 121 in the last game with 45% shooting overall and 32% from beyond the arc. They also cut down on turnovers which has been a huge issue in this series. The average points scored in this series has been 223PPG per game and that trend continues here. Bet OVER