#395 ASA PLAY ON 8* West Virginia Mountaineers (+) over Iowa State Cyclones, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - Iowa State is off a win at Texas last week and in the perfect spot for a letdown after all the late game dramatics in the win over the Longhorns. The Cyclones have won 4 straight games and now are in the ideal spot to get upended as West Virginia certainly does not want to see the Cyclones punch a ticket to the Big 12 title game at their expense. West Virginia has a fantastic defense and that will be a key in this game as Iowa State allowed 448 yards last week and is simply not on the same level defensively as the Mountaineers are. West Virginia is allowing only 274 yards per game on the season. On the other side of the ball, Mountaineers QB Doege has a 13-3 ratio and has helped lead the way for an offense averaging over 440 yards per game this season. While Cyclones QB Purdy is having a respectable season as well, the pass defense of WVU is giving up 76.5 yards per game less than the Iowa State pass defense. Our computer math modeling reflects Doege having strong odds for a bigger game than Purdy in this one. The Mountaineers will be the fresher team here as they have been off since November 14th while the Cyclones are playing for the 3rd time since November 21st. Big difference and that will prove important as this game gets further into the 3rd and 4th quarters. The Cyclones are ranked 12th in the nation while the Mountaineers are unranked and yet this line moved off the key number of 7 and settled in at 6.5 during the week. That is a strong indicator that sharps are siding with the dog here and the books are respecting that. We're putting our sharp money right there as well with the Mountaineers ranking among the top defenses in the country and WVU is sure to bring their A game for this match-up given the situation. This one has the right ingredients for a road dog upset and we're grabbing the points as West Virginia.