PREMIUM
2nd of 3 in triple play Saturday
(NCAAF) Air Force vs. Army,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -110.00 Air Force (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -2.50 | -110.00 Air Force (Away)
Result: Loss
#205 ASA PLAY ON Air Force -2.5 over Army, Saturday at 3:00 PM ET
The situation heavily favors Air Force here. On top of that, they are the better team despite the records. Air Force was at home last weekend preparing for this rivalry while Army was playing their biggest rival, Navy last Saturday. It has to be a weird situation playing a game the week following Navy as that never happens. Those 2 always play in the final regular season college football game each year. Army won 15-0 but it was far from impressive. They had just 8 first downs and 162 total yards in the win. Air Force played Navy earlier this season and beat them 40-7 outgaining them by 170 yards. We understand that doesn’t always correlate but that was their only common opponent and AF was far superior in that comparison. Air Force is 3-2 on the year with their 2 losses coming at the hands of Boise State & San Jose State who have a combined 12-1 record. They actually outgained Boise and SJSU had just 3 more total yards in their meeting with the Falcons. Army is 8-2 on the year but they’ve played a brutally easy schedule including 3 FCS teams. There is a reason that a 3-2 team is favored over an 8-2 team on the road. Both of these teams obviously run the ball as much as anyone in the country. Air Force is simply better at it on both sides of the ball. On offense they put up 336 YPG on 5.9 YPC while Army averages 280 YPG rushing on 4.8 YPC. Defensively the numbers are closer but AF still has the advantage vs the run. The Falcons have topped 400 yards of offense in every game but 1 this year. Army topped 400 yards of offense just twice in 10 games and those were against Abilene Christian (throw that out) and UL Monroe, whose defense ranks 122nd nationally vs the run. AF has simply dominated this series with a 19-4 SU record since 1987, 17-6 ATS. They’ve also covered 10 of the last 11 times they’ve traveled to Army. This is a small number to lay in our opinion. Air Force is the side.
The situation heavily favors Air Force here. On top of that, they are the better team despite the records. Air Force was at home last weekend preparing for this rivalry while Army was playing their biggest rival, Navy last Saturday. It has to be a weird situation playing a game the week following Navy as that never happens. Those 2 always play in the final regular season college football game each year. Army won 15-0 but it was far from impressive. They had just 8 first downs and 162 total yards in the win. Air Force played Navy earlier this season and beat them 40-7 outgaining them by 170 yards. We understand that doesn’t always correlate but that was their only common opponent and AF was far superior in that comparison. Air Force is 3-2 on the year with their 2 losses coming at the hands of Boise State & San Jose State who have a combined 12-1 record. They actually outgained Boise and SJSU had just 3 more total yards in their meeting with the Falcons. Army is 8-2 on the year but they’ve played a brutally easy schedule including 3 FCS teams. There is a reason that a 3-2 team is favored over an 8-2 team on the road. Both of these teams obviously run the ball as much as anyone in the country. Air Force is simply better at it on both sides of the ball. On offense they put up 336 YPG on 5.9 YPC while Army averages 280 YPG rushing on 4.8 YPC. Defensively the numbers are closer but AF still has the advantage vs the run. The Falcons have topped 400 yards of offense in every game but 1 this year. Army topped 400 yards of offense just twice in 10 games and those were against Abilene Christian (throw that out) and UL Monroe, whose defense ranks 122nd nationally vs the run. AF has simply dominated this series with a 19-4 SU record since 1987, 17-6 ATS. They’ve also covered 10 of the last 11 times they’ve traveled to Army. This is a small number to lay in our opinion. Air Force is the side.
