#367 ASA FREE PLAY ON San Francisco -3 over Dallas, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These two have similar record with San Fran coming in at 5-8 and Dallas at 4-9. Even with their records standing only 1 game apart, San Fran is just -11 this season in point differential and Dallas is -102. Also, the Niners have played the toughest schedule thus far in the NFL while Dallas has played the 28th most difficult. That’s to be expected with the Cowboys in the ultra weak NFC East while SF plays in the tough NFC West. Niners are just 1-5 their previous 6 games, however they’ve been run through the gauntlet facing Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, LA Rams, and Buffalo during that stretch. Last week they played Washington who is currently in 1st place in the NFC East and lost but outgained them by 151 yards. They held Washington’s offense to just 3.1 YPP, however SF gave up 2 defensive TD’s on a 76 yard pick 6 and a 47 yard fumble return. Dallas is coming off a win vs a terrible Cincinnati team last week. Since losing QB Burrow, the Bengals offense has been horrible. However, they did outgain the Cowboys last week in the loss but had 3 turnovers (0 for Dallas). SF has a huge edge defensively here ranking in the top 6 in both YPG and YPP allowed. Dallas ranks outside the outside the top 22 in both despite playing a weak schedule of offenses in the NFC East. The Cowboy offense has played 5 games this year vs teams inside to top 8 in total defense and they’ve averaged 12 PPG in those games. Their losses this year have come by an average of 15 PPG. We’ll take the much better team at this low number.