#327/328 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 51 Points – Cincinnati vs Georgia, Friday at 12 PM ET - This total has crept up from 49.5 to 51 points and we still think it’s much too low. The Georgia offense has been rolling since switching QB’s to former USC starter JT Daniels. Since taking the reigns on November 21st, the UGA offense led by Daniels, has scored 31, 45, and 49 points. They’ve also averaged 500 YPG of total offense in those 3 games after averaging 382 YPG prior to making the switch at QB. Cincinnati’s defense 13th nationally but that number is drastically inflated in our opinion. The AAC has a few good offenses but the conference definitely isn’t great on that side of the ball. The best offense they faced this year was UCF who put up 33 points. Of the other 8 offenses they faced, one was an FCS opponent, 2 others ranked in the top 41 and the rest were all ranked 57th over lower. In the AAC Championship game they allowed 24 points to a Tulsa team that is ranked 57th in total offense. On the other side of the ball, Cincy is very good ranking in the top 20 nationally in total offense, rush offense, and scoring. The scored at least 36 points in 6 of their 9 games this season. Now they did face some poor defenses, we realize that, however the best defense they faced was Tulsa, one of the better defenses in the country, and they scored 27 in that game and it should have been much more. The Bearcats put up 420 yards in that game and they missed a short FG and were shutout on downs at the Tulsa 5 yard line. They are very balanced offensively and have an experienced dual threat QB Ritter who is a 3 year starter. UGA’s defense also has very good numbers but they were the beneficiary of facing perhaps the easiest offensive schedule in the SEC. The Bulldogs faced just TWO offenses this season ranked inside the top 60 (Florida & Bama) and those teams put up 44 and 41 points respectively. Half of their SEC opponents (4) were ranked 96th or lower in total offense. Cincinnati will be the 3rd best offense this UGA defense has faced this season behind only Alabama and Florida. The Bearcats average just under 40 PPG (39.3) and Georgia averages 33 PPG despite their slow start. Both of these teams have the ability to get to 30 in this game but we don’t even need that to happen. If both reach at least 25 points this is going OVER. This game will have no weather situation as it’s being played in Mercedes Benz domed stadium in Atlanta so a fast track and perfect conditions for the offense. The projected score with UGA a 7-point favorite is 29-22. We like both teams to top their projected point total so we take the OVER in this game.