#499/500 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 75 Points – Ohio State vs Alabama, Monday at 8 PM ET - This is the highest total ever set in a National Championship game and we think it’s too high. The previous high total set by the oddsmakers in this game was back in 2014/15 season when Ohio State faced Oregon with the number set at 72. The two teams combined to score 62 points staying under by 10 full points. The average total scored in the 6 FBS National Championship games is 64.8 points. We understand why this total is set so high because the public likes to bet overs and focus on offenses. These are two of the best offenses in the country. However keep in mind the defenses in these games will be among the best each offense has seen this year as well. Last week was the first time in their last 8 games that Bama faced a defense ranked inside the top 47. Notre Dame was ranked 21st in total defense and held the Tide to 31 points on 437 total yards both well below their averages. Prior to last week’s game vs Clemson, the Buckeyes had faced 2 top 30 defenses this season and scored 22 & 38 points in those games for an average of 30 PPG. That’s not getting it done here with the total set as high as it is. OSU played the perfect game on offense last year. One Big 10 coach said he’d never seen QB Fields play a better game in his career. Can he duplicate that vs Bama with injured ribs and Saban watching the film and having extra time to get ready? We don’t think so. Bama’s offense is great but we expect OSU to try and run the ball and keep them off the field here. Funny to say, but OSU has to slow this game down to have a decent shot to win. If they can do that, we think they can, it’s going to be very tough to hit this total. This is the highest total for BOTH of these teams this season. OSU has not had a total in the 70’s this year. Bama has had a few in the 70’s including their game vs Florida which was set at 74 and their game vs Ole Miss which was set at 74. Those numbers alone tell us we’re getting value on the under here as Florida’s offense is absolutely on par with OSU’s offense however the Buckeye defense is much better than the Gators. The Ole Miss offense is one of the tops in the country (3rd nationally) but their defense is atrocious. All it takes is one bad quarter or a few long, time eating drives in this game and the Under will be looking very good. Take the UNDER here