#829/830 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 138.5 Points – Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois, Sunday at 6 PM ET - These two played on Saturday and tallied 136 points with UNI winning 74-62. The game stayed under by a couple of points as the closing total was 138 at most spots. The two teams combined to make 50 of their 108 shots which isn’t bad at 46%. However, digging deeper we can see a lot of points were left off the board in this game. While they shot OK overall, their 3-point shooting numbers and FT numbers were horrible. The 2 teams combined to make only 11 of their 40 three point attempts (barely 25%) and from the charity stripe they combined to make 25 FT’s on 47 attempts (53%). Both teams drastically underperformed their season averages in those 2 categories as UNI hits 34% of their 3’s on the year and SIU hits 37% (49th nationally). From the stripe they hit 68% and 70% respectively. It’s not as if these teams are lock down defensively from the arc either as NIU ranks 312th nationally defending the 3 and SIU ranks 299th. It was simply an off shooting performance. Expect a much better offensive performance from these teams on Sunday as both defense rank at the very bottom of the Missouri Valley in most key categories. They are 9th & 10th in defensive efficiency (10 team league) and neither of the two rank above 8th in eFG% defense, 2-point % defense, or 3-point % defense. We look for this one to get into the mid 140’s on Sunday so take the OVER.