#41/42 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 5 Goals - Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning, Friday at 8:00 PM ET – The Golden Knights lost Game 2 on home ice by a 3-2 count. The last 10 times that Vegas has entered a game off a loss they have gone a fantastic 8-2. Of course that is a big part of the reason that the Knights are a sizable money line favorite even though they are on the road in this game. That being said, where we see the value here is with the total. In those 10 games when off a loss, Vegas has scored an average of 4 goals per game. The Golden Knights should indeed score well in this bounce back spot but they will struggle to stop a Canadiens team that has momentum right now and is also excited to be back on their home ice. Montreal has won 8 of 9 games and, not including OT goals, has averaged scoring 3 goals in those 8 victories! The Canadiens looked very strong in Game 2 and had plenty of good quality chances which helped lead the way to the 3 goals they ended up with. Montreal should again enjoy success as they were creating great chances in Game 2 but the difference here in Game 3 will be a much more aggressive approach in the offensive zone from the hungry Golden Knights. That being said, and with this total sitting at 5 goals, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is calling for a game in the 6 to 7 goal range here. The Canadiens are on a roll and playing with a lot of confidence as they have won 7 of 8 games. Vegas, in its last 5 games (not including OT goals), has scored an average of 3.8 goals per game! As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here