ESPN ATS Smash
(NCAAF) Louisville vs. Ole Miss,
Point Spread: -9.00 | -110.00 Ole Miss (Home)
Result: Win
ASA play on 8* Mississippi -9 over Louisville, Monday - Ole Miss returns an experienced roster with 64 returning lettermen and 17 starters back. Contrast that to the Cardinals are one of the least experienced teams in the nation with just 14 starters back and a host of freshman. Both teams have their starting QB’s back but Rebels starter Matt Corral rates better than UL’s QB Malik Cunningham. Cunningham will be asked to carry the load offensively as he lost 4 of their top 6 receivers and top rusher while the Rebels return most of their skill players. Last year UL gave up 42+ vs. Miami, Ga Tech and Va Tech and none of those teams are near as good offensively as Ole’ Miss. Mississippi had horrible defense numbers a year ago, including allowing 38.3PPG, but those numbers came against much better teams and offenses in the SEC, including Bama and Florida, who were top 13 in scoring a year ago. An interesting factor in this line is that the number didn’t fluctuate with the announcement of Ole’Miss coach Lane Kiffin not being available to coach this game. That tells us Vegas doesn’t want to move off of a key number like -10 for fear of getting pounded by Mississippi money. Lay the points with Ole’Miss here.