#953 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Mets -1.5 -100 on Run Line over Miami Marlins, Thursday at 6:40 PM ET – The Marlins got the win in extra innings yesterday but that was with their top pitcher on the mound. Now Jesus Luzardo gets the call. The Miami southpaw is 4-6 with a 6.53 ERA and his repertoire of pitches pales in comparison to that of the stuff yesterday's starter, Sandy Alcantara, has. Luzardo has been charged with 8 earned runs on 15 hits in 10 and 1 / 3 innings over his last two starts versus NL East opponents and both of those starts were at home just like this one is against another divisional foe. The Marlins had lost 13 of 19 before coming up with the tight win in 10 innings yesterday. The Mets had won 8 of 10 games prior to yesterday's loss. Look for Marcus Stroman to help lead the Mets to victory here. The New York right-hander has a 2.93 ERA on the season and New York is 3-0 in his last 3 starts. He has a 2.84 ERA this season in starts versus the Marlins. 9 of the Mets last 10 wins have come by a margin of 2+ runs and our computer math model for this game is strongly favoring a big win for the Mets as Stroman comes up with a gem and the Mets bats (6.6 runs per game in that 8-2 run) bounce back from yesterday's loss. New York is set up well for a big road blowout win here and Stroman should once again dominate. Adding to the value here is the fact that our play on team is available in an even money (-100) price range on the run line. Take New York Mets -1.5 on the run line.