#915/916 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 10 Runs – Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET – The last time Nick Pivetta faced the Orioles was less than two weeks ago and he struggled badly. Pivetta allowed 7 hits in less than 4 innings versus Baltimore and was fortunate to get a key double play before he exited or the damage could have been much worse. Now he faces the Orioles again but this time at Baltimore where their .443 slugging percentage this season ranks 3rd in the AL. Look for the Orioles hitters to again get to Pivetta early and often in this one as they respond off a rare home shutout loss last night. Boston should also be hitting well in this game too. The Red Sox have won 7 of last 8 games against Orioles and have averaged scoring 7.8 runs a game during this stretch! Boston should have no trouble connecting against Baltimore starter Alexander Wells and behind him is one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Wells is 0-3 with a 7.13 ERA in his 7 starts this season and allowed 5 earned runs in only 5 innings in his most recent start versus the Red Sox. Of his 7 starts this season, only 2 have been unders. Boston should crush the ball here but the Orioles also set up well to do much better at the plate than they did last night. This series has featured back to back unders so far but should finish with a bang. The five most recent meetings between these teams before this series saw the divisional foes combine to average a dozen runs per game in the 5 meetings. This total is in the 10 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 6 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 13 runs (7-6 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet the Over