ASA Free Play Saturday CFB
(NCAAF) Minnesota vs. Purdue,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -107.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Win
#119 ASA FREE PLAY ON Minnesota +2.5 over Purdue, Saturday at 12 PM ET - The Gophers were upset at home last Saturday as a 30 POINT FAVORITE and we expect a big bounce back this week @ Purdue. Minny had beaten Colorado 30-0 on the road a week earlier and came out as flat as they could be vs Bowling Green last week and lost 14-10. Minny outgained BG by 1.0 YPP but three turnovers and veteran QB Morgan’s worst game of his career (5 completions) led to the loss. The Minnesota defense has been outstanding holding their last 2 opponents to 1.4 YPP (Colorado) and 3.1 YPP (BG). Purdue’s offense has been struggling mightily averaging just 4.4 YPP and 4.1 YPP their last 2 games so they’ll have problems moving the ball vs the Gophers. Last week Purdue had problems at home putting away Illinois scoring a late TD to win 13-9. The Boilers barely had 300 total yards vs an Illini defense that was allowing 481 YPG entering last week’s game. Minnesota should control the trenches here as they are averaging 210 YPG rushing while allowing only 77. Purdue rushing attack is poor averaging just 93 YPG so they won’t run against this front. It also looks like the Boilermakers will be without their top WR again this week (Bell who has 2,000 career yards receiving) which really affects their passing game. Purdue has covered just 2 of their last 11 as a home favorite dating back to 2019 and we like Minnesota to win this game outright.