CBB Day Game Smash
(NCAAB) Wofford vs. Chattanooga,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -117.00 Chattanooga (Home)
Result: Win
#832 ASA PLAY ON 8* Chattanooga -1.5 over Wofford, Sunday at 4 PM ET - Chattanooga was the better team all season long and on top of that they match up very well with Wofford. The Mocs won both regular season match ups by 11 and 8 points holding Wofford to 0.97 PPP in both of those meetings. UTC’s defense is the best in the Southern Conference ranking 1st in efficiency, eFG% allowed, and 3 point % allowed. The last stat on that list is the key here as Wofford relies very heavily on the 3 point shot, as much as nearly any team in the country. That makes it tough vs Chattanooga who allows just 30% from deep which was the Terriers problem in the first 2 meetings hitting just 27% in those 2 games combined from deep. If Wofford isn’t successful from beyond the arc, they can’t win this game. They were just 3-5 SU vs the top 4 three point defensive teams in the Southern Conference (Furman, Chattanooga, ETSU, and Mercer). UTC, on the other hand, likes to score inside the arc. While they can shoot the 3 (hit 35% from deep) over 50% of their points come from inside the arc (2nd in the conference). Wofford is 295th nationally at defending inside the 3 point line and hit 54% and 52% of their 2 point shots in their games vs the Terriers this season. UTC is built to win in the tournament. They have 2 outstanding Senior guards, who will be the 2 best players on the court in this game in our opinion, and a big man (DeSousa) who transferred from Kansas and can cause problems inside. DeSousa missed 7 games this season (including one of the meetings vs Wofford) and when at full strength, Chattanooga is the best team in the conference. We have this number at -3 so we like the value with UTC. Lay it.