#731/732 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 137 Points – San Francisco vs Murray State, Thursday at 9:40 PM ET - Defense is the strength of both of these teams. USF ranks 19th nationally in defensive efficiency (0.92 PPP) and allows 66 PPG. Murray State ranks 40th in defensive efficiency (0.95 PPP) and allows 61 PPG. The Dons do like to play fast but the slower team quite often controls tempo. Despite their nickname the Racers, Murray State is a slow paced team ranking 246th in adjusted tempo. They’ve held 24 of their 32 opponents this season to less than 70 points. If you subtract USF’s 3 games vs Gonzaga (#1 in the country in offensive efficiency), they allowed just 66 PPG in WCC play. Both teams defend the 3 point line very well (9th and 13th nationally) and neither teams scores many points from the FT line. That means most of the scoring here will come from inside the arc and 2’s are much better than 3’s when playing the Under. Lastly, both teams shoot below 70% from the FT line for the season. With this spread being just 1point, we expect a close game that is a one or two possession game late. That usually slows the game way down entering the final minutes as each offensive possession in crucial. Under is our wager on this game.