Hidden Gem CFB 8*
(NCAAF) Texas State vs. Nevada,
Money Line: -112.00 Texas State (Away)
Result: Loss
#201 ASA PLAY ON 8* Texas State PK over Nevada, Saturday at 5:30 PM ET - Nevada has a game under their belt but they looked terrible last week. Wasn’t surprising as they rank 131st (dead last) in offensive production returning and 130th in defensive production coming back. This team lost more experience and key players than any other in the country. While they beat New Mexico State, who is rated as one of the worst 5 teams in CFB, it wasn’t pretty. The final score was Nevada 23, NMSU 12 but the Wolfpack were outgained 303 to 257 and they were nearly outgained by 2.0 YPP (5.1 YPP for NMSU & 3.3 YPP for Nevada). New Mexico State turned the ball over 5 times in the game (0 for Nevada) yet still hung tight and were down by just 1 score with under 2:00 minutes remaining in the game. The Wolfpack new QB’s were unimpressive to say the least as Illingworth and Cox completed just 14 passes for 78 total yards and only 3.4 yards per attempt. Slow down their running game and the Nevada offense is in big trouble. Texas State was just 4-8 last season but they return a bunch on offense including 4 of their 5 starting offensive linemen. They also get a big upgrade at QB with Arkansas State transfer Hatcher taking over. He was one of the top QB recruits nationally out of HS and committed to Alabama before transferring to Arkansas State where he threw for over 7,400 yards with 65 TD’s in his career. Nevada will look out of sorts the first part of this season as they have a new coaching staff at nearly every position (and head coach). We’ve lost some value here as the Bobcats were +3 in this game last week but still like Texas State to get the win as a pick'em.