ASA's CFB 3-PACK
(NCAAF) Iowa State vs. Iowa,
Point Spread: -3.50 | -103.00 Iowa (Home)
Result: Loss
#368 ASA PLAY ON 8* Iowa -3.5 over Iowa State, Saturday at 4 PM ET - This line is an overreaction to Iowa’s 7-3 home win over South Dakota State. We get it the Hawkeye offense wasn’t good and starting QB Petras was awful. Let’s remember that SDSU is one of the top few programs in all of FCS and is rated higher than almost half of the FBS teams in the current Sagarin ratings. So they are a very solid team. While Petras was bad, he has lots of experience after starting for a Hawkeye team that went 10-4 last year. He will be better this week. They did have their chances last week pushing inside the SDSU 40 yard line 6 times but coming away with only 1 FG. The Iowa defense was outstanding as expected. They held the Jackrabbits to just 120 total yards on 2 YPP and SDSU made their way inside Iowa’s 40 yard line only once the entire game. Iowa State lost a TON of experience from last year’s team. They rank 128th in returning production (offense + defense) out of 131 teams. They lost their multi year QB starter (Purdy), their all time leading rusher (Hall), and 8 starters on defense including their entire secondary. The Cyclones rolled last week over a bad SE Missouri State team so very little can be taken from that game. That fact is, Iowa returns far more experience from last season when they beat ISU by 10 on the road. They have now beaten ISU 6 straight times by an average margin of +13 PPG. The Hawkeye coaches and players have heard all week how terrible they are after last week’s tight win and will come more than ready for this one. Iowa wins this one by more than a FG.