#261/262 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 43.5 Points – Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - Green Bay’s offense is struggling mightily and now they face off against the best defense in the NFL per Football Outsiders DVOA. The Packers are averaging just 12.5 PPG over their last 4 games (minus defensive points) and they have not topped 17 points offensively during that stretch. Aaron Rodgers has no weapons on the outside and they continue to be banged up at WR with Doubs out along with Watkins and Lazard questionable. On top of that RB Jones is questionable and 3 of their 4 starting offensive lineman didn’t practice on Wednesday. In all, 8 of Green Bay’s 11 starting offensive players missed practice or were very limited this week. There is also not enough being made about Rodgers thumb injury as he has been missing practice and his numbers have plummeted since getting hurt. Prior to the thumb injury he was completing 68% of his passes with 11 TDs, 3 interceptions and a passer rating of 95. After the injury his numbers are 61% completion rate with 6 TDs, 4 interceptions and a passer rating of 81. If Green Bay could only score 9 points last week vs a Detroit defense ranked dead last in YPP allowed at 6.4 how are they going to score points vs Dallas who gives up 4.8 YPP? On the other side, we expect Dallas to run the ball a lot eating clock here. They run the ball almost 48% of the time (8th in the NFL) and teams are running on GB over 50% of the time (most in the NFL) because they struggle to stop the run (26th in the NFL). Same could be said with GB’s offense. Dallas weakness defensively is stopping the run and with all of the injuries the Packers have out wide, they will run as much as possible. On top of that, Dallas is #1 in the NFL in sack differential at +21 so they can put pressure on the QB which is bad news for Rodgers if the Packers abandon the running game which we have a hard time believing they will. Both defenses rank in the top 5 in the NFL vs the pass this season as well. Cold temps in Green Bay on Sunday with highs in the mid 30’s and 10 MPH winds. These teams are a combined 11-5-1 on the year to the UNDER with Green Bay games averaging 38 total points and Dallas games averaging 40 total points. This one should be lower scoring and we’ll grab the UNDER