#104 ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia -6 over Minnesota, Thursday at 8:15 PM ET - With this line sitting less than a TD, we’ll be on the Eagles here. Philly didn’t play very well last week but still picked up a 25-20 win @ New England. QB Hurts, who didn’t play in the preseason, was rusty but should play much better at home in his 2nd game on Thursday night. We expected a significant regression from the Vikings this season after they finished 13-4 last year but their metrics were more in line with a .500 type team. Minnesota actually had a negative point differential last season despite their record and they were outgained by 0.4 YPP (5.5 YPP offense / 5.9 YPP defense). The luck factor was heavily in Minnesota’s corner last year as they went a ridiculous 11-0 SU in one score games (regular season). Last week they lost at home vs a suspect Tampa team as a favorite. QB Cousins has never been great in prime time (Monday night, Thursday night, or Sunday night) with an 11-18 SU record. The Eagles dominated this meeting last year beating Minnesota 24-7 outgaining the Vikings 7.1 YPP to 4.5 YPP. We don’t see anything changing here. Lay it with the host.