#861/862 ASA PLAY ON Under 143 Points – Middle Tennessee State vs Tennessee, Monday at 7 PM ET - Tennessee is #1 nationally in eFG% defense and #2 in defensive efficiency. They are allowing just 55 PPG this season and they really make teams work on the offensive end allowing a shot attempt every 19 seconds (4th in the country). They have held a number of high level offenses to low point totals this year including limiting Baylor (5th nationally in offensive efficiency) to 62 points, Illinois (37th nationally in offensive efficiency) to 64 points, Louisville (55th nationally in offensive efficiency) to 55 points, and Miami FL (38th nationally in offensive efficiency) to 62 points. The Vols have held almost half their opponents (5) to less than 60 points and limited 2 of their opponents to less than 40 points. MTSU is not a good 3 point shooting team (31%) and they don’t attempt many from deep. They should be drastically limited from beyond the arc here vs a Tennessee defense that ranks #1 nationally in guarding the arc allowing only 24%. On the other end of the court, the Blue Raiders have done a great job defensively limiting opponents to just 5 made 3 pointers per game and holding them to 27% from deep (5th nationally). The majority of points in this game should come from inside the arc which always helps the Under. We wouldn’t be surprised if MTSU fails to top 55 points in this game which would mean Tennessee would need to get to almost 90 for this one to go Over. 6 of Tennessee’s last 7 games have failed to top 141 points and we think this one sticks in the mid to upper 130’s. Under is our play here.