#274 ASA PLAY ON Georgia -115 over Notre Dame, Wednesday at 8:45 PM ET – SUGAR BOWL @ New Orleans - We think the Irish are overvalued right now after winning 9 straight games ATS. They’ve been on quite a roll but let’s not forget their schedule was an easy one (59th SOS) while UGA’s was one of the toughest in college football (3rd SOS). Georgia played and beat 4 CFP teams during the regular season including topping Texas twice (along with Tennessee & Clemson). Notre Dame faced their first playoff team in round 1 taking down Indiana by 10 at home. While it was a solid 27-17 win, we’re not so sure how good it really was. First of all it was a home game and on top of that IU faced one of the easiest schedules of any Power 4 team and the one good team they faced during the regular season, OSU rolled them 38-15. The Irish offense, especially their running game, has been really good this season but this will be the most talented defense they’ve faced. UGA’s overall defensive numbers might not be as good as a few of ND’s opponents this season (Indiana & Army) but when strength of schedule is taken into consideration, they are the best unit ND has seen. On offense UGA will be without starting QB Beck and we’re not sure that’s a terrible thing (sort of kidding here). He did not have a great year with his lowest completion percentage and he threw more interceptions this season than he did in his first 3 years combined. Back up Stockton came in a played well in their SEC Championship win over Texas and brings a running threat to the position. Head coach Kirby Smart has had a full month to get a game plan ready with Stockton under center. We like this situation as the ND defense may not know what to expect. On top of that, the Irish defensive line is banged up right now and they will be without their All American DT Mills. UGA and Smart knows what it takes to win in this spot as they’ve been here many times. Smart has won 7 straight post-season games and he is 57-1 SU the last 58 games vs everyone not named Alabama. We think UGA gets this win and moves on.