#642 ASA PLAY ON Duke -6.5 over Alabama, Saturday at 8:45 PM ET - We went against Bama on Thursday and they went crazy. They took 66 total shots from the field and a ridiculous 51 of those were from 3. They made 25 triples (49%) which set the NCAA tourney record. While the Crimson Tide are a solid 3 point shooting team, they aren’t great ranking 75th nationally. We just don’t see that as a sustainable situation here vs a Duke defense that 5th nationally in efficiency (BYU was 82nd defensively). If the Tide need to rely a huge number of 3’s again, they’re probably in trouble. Duke dominated Arizona more than the 100-93 final score. They led by 19 in the 2nd half before the Cats made a final push. The Devils shot the 3 well (made 11 triples) but dominated at the rim hitting 61% of their shots inside the arc and now facing Bama defense that isn’t great defensively inside. Duke was extremely efficient (1.41 PPP) vs a Arizona defense that compares favorably to this Alabama defense (35th and 27th respectively in defensive efficiency). The Blue Devils were much more well rounded on offense Thursday taking 66 shots but only 19 from deep so they aren’t completely reliant on making 3’s compared to the Tide. Duke has been the better team all season long and is the only team in the country in the top 5 both offense and defense efficiency wise. They are in the top 10 in the country in both 2 point FG% and 3 point FG%, shoot FT’s better (79% to 72%), turn the ball over less (16th to 143rd for Bama), and they are the much better defensive rebounding team limiting 2nd chance points. They had a huge lead vs a very good Arizona team and almost blew it. We don’t think that happens in back to back games. Lay it with Duke.