ESPN Blowout WNBA
(WNBA) Fever (IND) vs. Mercury (PHX),
Point Spread: -7.50 | -112.00 Mercury (PHX) (Home)
Result: Loss
ASA WNBA top play on 10* Phoenix Mercury -7.5 vs Indiana Fever, 3 PM ET - We’ve had success backing Western Conference teams versus Eastern Conference opponents in recent wagers and will stick with that theme here. The top four teams in the West, which includes Phoenix, are equal or better than the top two teams in the East (Liberty and Sun). The Mercury got off to a slow start without their center Britney Griner but have since won 5 of their last seven games with the All-Star center in the lineup. In that 7-game stretch the two losses the Mercury have are to the best team in the league Lynx and the defending Champion Aces. The Mercury are 7-3 SU and ATS their last ten games at home and their last three wins have all come by 6+ points. Phoenix has played the toughest schedule in the WNBA this season and now have a positive Net Rating in their last seven games of +2.7. Indiana had a modest 4-game winning streak, but those W’s came against some of the worst teams in the league (Dream 2x, Mystics and Sky). On the season the Fever have the 10th worst average point differential of minus -7.2PPG. The Fever have some defensive deficiencies, ranking last in Defensive Net rating while allowing the most points in the league at 87.9PPG. We were just on the Mercury -10.5 against a similar Sparks team in which they won by 14-points. We expect the same results here and a double-digit win.