Stephen Nover's NFL Sunday Night Big Ticket
(NFL) Buccaneers (TB) vs. Cowboys (DAL),
Point Spread: -3.50 | -114.00 Buccaneers (TB) (Away)
Result: Loss
Baker Mayfield has proven his distractors wrong for a second straight season. He's thrown 32 TD passes, third-most behind Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow.

But the key to Buccaneers' tremendous offensive success is their unheralded offensive coordinator, Liam Coen. He has elevated what looked to be an ordinary offense into a high-scoring unit that is the fourth-highest scoring in the NFL at 28.8 points a game. Tampa Bay has scored 30 or more points in seven games. The Bucs' ground attack has improved so much they now rank tied for second in yards per carry and fifth in rushing yards.

Dallas gives up the third most points per game in the NFL. The Cowboys rank fourth from the bottom in run defense. Making matters worse for the Cowboys is they have multiple defensive injuries, some to key players.

Tampa Bay just hung 40 points on the Chargers on the road. The Chargers had the lowest-scoring defense in the league. Dallas' defense isn't close to that level.

The Cowboys, behind backup QB Cooper Rush, don't have the offensive capability to trade points with Tampa Bay.

Dallas is 3-6 in its last nine games with two of those victories coming against the Panthers and Giants. The Cowboys simply aren't in the class of the Buccaneers.