We really like the home team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how cold Cleveland’s bats have been, getting shut out in three of four straight losses. Cubs lefty Matthew Boyd has been locked in lately, going 3-1 with a 1.49 ERA over his last six starts. With the Guardians struggling to generate offense, we see strong value backing the Cubs here.

This is a 3% play on the Cubs on the moneyline.