We really like the home team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Cardinals have scored just three runs over a four-game losing streak while the Cubs have scored 27 runs over four consecutive wins. Cubs' scheduled opener, Drew Pomeranz, has conceded only one unearned run over 23 2/3 innings on the season. Jordan Wicks is expected to follow Pomeranz and should be able to keep this ice-cold Cards lineup in check.

This is a 4% play on the Cubs on the moneyline.