The game 2 banger is on Milwaukee at 6:30 eastern. We will go with the Money line value here so not to have to win by 5 or more points. As Seen below game 1 teams like the Heat are 11-42 in game 2 off a win. Miami has failed to cover 8 of 11 as a dog and 6 of 8 as a playoff dog. They had the extra rest and blind sided the Bucks in game 1. The Heat are 0-7 ats on Hump Day and have failed to cover 7 of 9 off a win of 10 or more. The Bucks have covered 12 of 15 off a loss of 10 or more. FINALLY from the database we see that rested conference favorites off a conference favored spread loss by 10 or more are 14-0 straight up since 1995 vs an opponent who is off a spread win by 10 or more as a conference dog if that team had 4+ days off prior to the win. Bucks bounce back tonight.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ V:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order V (Miami) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2020 NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 266-211 (.558)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 65-58 (.528)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 75-70 (.517)
series record, NBA only, Quarterfinals round: 24-29 (.453)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 162-315 (.340)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 39-84 (.317)
Game 2 record, NBA only, all rounds: 35-110 (.241)
Game 2 record, NBA only, Quarterfinals round: 11-42 (.208)