On Friday night the MLB Totals play is on the over in the Cubs at Pirates game. Rotation numbers 953/954 at 7:05 eastern. Home favorites, like the Pirates off a road favored win vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs have posted over in 19 of 20 times since 2004 and these games have averaged 13 runs. The Cubs are 5-0 over on the road off a road dog loss by 2 or more runs. The Pirates are scoring over 5 runs the past week and have posted overs in 5 of 6 at home off a road win. Cole for the pirates has pitched over in 3 of 4 vs the Cubs and has a 4.91 era in his last 3 starts. Wada for the Cubs was knocked out early vs the Pirates last week allowing 3 runs in 3 innings. Look for this one to post over the total in the series opener tonight. See system below





OU: 19-1

Runs
Team 7.3
Opp 5.9

May 25, 2004 box Tue home Giants Jason Schmidt - R Diamondbacks Casey Fossum - L 4-1 3 W -2.5 U 11-5 1-0 4-0 -240 7.5 9
Jul 30, 2004 box Fri home Cubs Mark Prior - R Phillies Eric Milton - L 10-7 3 W 8.5 O 14-11 0-2 4-3 -170 8.5 9
Sep 03, 2004 box Fri home Astros Roger Clemens - R Pirates Oliver Perez - L 8-6 2 W 6.0 O 10-8 0-1 7-0 -170 8.0 9
Sep 14, 2004 box Tue home Twins Johan Santana - L White Sox Freddy Garcia - R 10-2 8 W 4.5 O 8-6 1-2 10-0 -240 7.5 9
Aug 29, 2005 box Mon home Indians Scott Elarton - R Tigers Jeremy Bonderman - R 10-8 2 W 9.0 O 12-12 0-2 2-5 -130 9.0 9
Aug 28, 2006 box Mon home Dodgers Brad Penny - R Reds Chris Michalak - L 6-5 1 W 2.0 O 12-10 1-1 5-0 -160 9.0 9
Sep 17, 2007 box Mon home Braves John Smoltz - R Marlins Byung Hyun Kim - R 11-6 5 W 7.5 O 14-10 0-1 9-0 -230 9.5 9
Jun 13, 2008 box Fri home Brewers David Bush - ? Twins Kevin Slowey - R 2-10 -8 L 2.5 O 5-15 2-0 0-9 -135 9.5 9
Jun 16, 2009 box Tue home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Athletics Dallas Braden - L 5-4 1 W 1.5 O 9-8 0-2 2-2 -145 7.5 10
Jun 26, 2009 box Fri home Rangers Kevin Millwood - ? Padres Walter Silva - R 12-2 10 W 3.5 O 13-4 1-1 10-1 -225 10.5 9
Sep 28, 2009 box Mon home Rays Jeff Niemann - R Orioles Mark Hendrickson - L 7-6 1 W 3.5 O 7-13 2-0 2-3 -210 9.5 9
Oct 02, 2009 box Fri home Cardinals Adam Wainwright - R Brewers Braden Looper - ? 6-12 -6 L 10.0 O 13-12 2-0 6-6 -200 8.0 9
Jun 25, 2010 box Fri home Reds Aaron Harang - R Indians Aaron Laffey - L 10-3 7 W 3.5 O 12-9 0-2 7-0 -205 9.5 9
Jul 05, 2010 box Mon home Mariners Felix Hernandez - R Royals Brian Bannister - ? 4-6 -2 L 3.0 O 8-14 0-1 3-2 -220 7.0 10
May 30, 2011 box Mon home Diamondbacks Joe Saunders - L Marlins Chris Volstad - R 15-4 11 W 9.5 O 19-9 0-1 11-2 -124 9.5 9
May 22, 2012 box Tue home White Sox Gavin Floyd - R Twins PJ Walters - R 2-9 -7 L 2.5 O 5-9 0-0 1-8 -145 8.5 9
Jun 25, 2012 box Mon home Yankees Hiroki Kuroda - R Indians Josh Tomlin - R 7-1 6 W -1.5 U 8-5 0-0 7-0 -165 9.5 9
Aug 27, 2012 box Mon home Yankees David Phelps - R Blue Jays Henderson Alvarez - R 7-8 -1 L 5.5 O 8-12 1-0 3-1 -215 9.5 10
Aug 26, 2013 box Mon home Tigers Anibal Sanchez - R Athletics AJ Griffin - R 6-8 -2 L 5.5 O 13-12 0-0 0-4 -165 8.5 9
Jul 31, 2014 box Thu home Nationals Gio Gonzalez - L Phillies Cliff Lee - L 4-10 -6 L 7.0 O 8-17 2-0 0-6 -170 7.0 9

Sep 12, 2014 Fri home Pirates Gerrit Cole - R Cubs Tsuyoshi Wada - L -190 7.0