This is a 10* AFC EAST TOY on the OVER Pats/Jets.

The money is pretty evenly split here on the side and total, but for a couple of different reasons, I believe this total is a bit TOO low.

I think these division rivals will creep over this really low total as the game comes down the stretch.

New England has played pretty well I'd say so far, or likely better than expected. It won 16-10 at the Bengals in Week 1, before then losing a tough one to a tough Seattle team 23-20 at home in overtime last weekend.

43 points were scored in that one and I think we'll see a similar sort of pace and overall final combined score here as well. I don't think they're going to combine for 70 points or anything but in the mid to high 40's type thing.

I think the Pats can duplicate their offensive performance from last week here on the road at the Jets.

NY bounced back from a poor 32-19 Week 1 loss to the 49ers to win 24-17 at the Titans last weekend.

I also think that Aaron Rodgers and the Jets can keep that offensive momentum rolling this Thursday.

New York's strength was supposed to be on the defensive end though and so far that's not been the case, as it was torched by the 49ers and looked OK vs. a weak Tennessee offense.

Now back at home for the first time, I think that Rodgers is going to want to put on a show.

For all those great situational reasons, I'm rolling with the OVER on Thursday night.

Good luck, NP