This is a 10* NON-CONF DOG OF THE MONTH on MTSU.

MTSU is just 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. The Blue Raiders though have responded well in this spot historically for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight-up losses in a row.

Let's take the Blue Raider's early numbers with a "grain of salt," as they have in fact faced some stiff competition over the last three weeks, including at Mississippi, vs. WKU and Duke.

Memphis is now 3-1 after last week's 56-44 loss at Navy as a huge 9-point favorite.

Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? Especially with a bye week next week!

Seth Henigan was just 32 of 56 for the Tigers last weekend, while Nicholas Vattiato was 21 of 33 for the Blue Raiders in their 45-17 loss to Duke.

I say this is just a few too many points for the home side to cover.

So grab the points, the play is MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE.

Good luck, NP